Active southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated low-pressure systems are keeping Manila under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers into September 1, moderating overnight radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature near the 25–27°C range. PAGASA and global model guidance show consensus on minimums of 25–28°C amid high humidity and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 25°C while sustained rain favors readings closer to 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and cloud persistence overnight, rather than major forecast divergence. Historical September lows average near 25°C, but current dynamical conditions tilt probabilities toward the upper end of that envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 1. September?
22°C or below 69%
27°C 38%
25°C 37%
26°C 37%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
69%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
37%
27°C
38%
28°C
28%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
22°C or below 69%
27°C 38%
25°C 37%
26°C 37%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
69%
23°C
$23 Vol.
1%
24°C
$23 Vol.
8%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$5 Vol.
37%
27°C
$5 Vol.
38%
28°C
$5 Vol.
28%
29°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$683 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated low-pressure systems are keeping Manila under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers into September 1, moderating overnight radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature near the 25–27°C range. PAGASA and global model guidance show consensus on minimums of 25–28°C amid high humidity and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 25°C while sustained rain favors readings closer to 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and cloud persistence overnight, rather than major forecast divergence. Historical September lows average near 25°C, but current dynamical conditions tilt probabilities toward the upper end of that envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$3,056Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated low-pressure systems are keeping Manila under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers into September 1, moderating overnight radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature near the 25–27°C range. PAGASA and global model guidance show consensus on minimums of 25–28°C amid high humidity and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 25°C while sustained rain favors readings closer to 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and cloud persistence overnight, rather than major forecast divergence. Historical September lows average near 25°C, but current dynamical conditions tilt probabilities toward the upper end of that envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,056Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon (habagat) flows and associated low-pressure systems are keeping Manila under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers into September 1, moderating overnight radiative cooling and anchoring the lowest temperature near the 25–27°C range. PAGASA and global model guidance show consensus on minimums of 25–28°C amid high humidity and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 25°C while sustained rain favors readings closer to 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and cloud persistence overnight, rather than major forecast divergence. Historical September lows average near 25°C, but current dynamical conditions tilt probabilities toward the upper end of that envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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