Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a mild overnight low near 20°C for Toronto on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow of warm, humid air with dew points near 20°C that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight further moderate temperature drops by enhancing downward heat transfer and cloud cover. This setup aligns with historical early-September averages but keeps the minimum well above seasonal cold outliers. Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C bins, reflecting model spread in exact cloud timing and precipitation onset, while higher outcomes like 24°C+ capture residual uncertainty in stronger warm advection and lower bins remain discounted absent a stronger northerly push. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 1. September?
24°C oder höher 69%
23°C 42%
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
14°C oder darunter
4%
15°C
14%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
22%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
42%
24°C oder höher
69%
24°C oder höher 69%
23°C 42%
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
14°C oder darunter
4%
15°C
14%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
22%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
22%
23°C
42%
24°C oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a mild overnight low near 20°C for Toronto on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow of warm, humid air with dew points near 20°C that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected overnight further moderate temperature drops by enhancing downward heat transfer and cloud cover. This setup aligns with historical early-September averages but keeps the minimum well above seasonal cold outliers. Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C bins, reflecting model spread in exact cloud timing and precipitation onset, while higher outcomes like 24°C+ capture residual uncertainty in stronger warm advection and lower bins remain discounted absent a stronger northerly push. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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