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icon for NE-01 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

NE-01 Wahlsieger

icon for NE-01 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

NE-01 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$26,223 Vol.

Polymarket

$26,223 Vol.

Mike Flood (R)

$13,451 Vol.

83%

Chris Backemeyer (D)

$12,772 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood holds a strong position in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Flood advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage with over $1 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer, who won his primary with 57.6 percent, benefits from the DCCC’s August 2026 decision to add the district to its competitive program, yet the area’s recent voting history—including a 56 percent Trump margin in 2024—continues to shape trader assessments. Early September 2026 exchanges over debate scheduling have not altered the overall outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,223
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood holds a strong position in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Flood advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage with over $1 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer, who won his primary with 57.6 percent, benefits from the DCCC’s August 2026 decision to add the district to its competitive program, yet the area’s recent voting history—including a 56 percent Trump margin in 2024—continues to shape trader assessments. Early September 2026 exchanges over debate scheduling have not altered the overall outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,223
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus von NE-02 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus von NE-02 gewinnen?

89%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den NH-01 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den NH-01 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

89%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den NE-03 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den NE-03 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

96%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„NE-01 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mike Flood (R)" mit 83%, gefolgt von „Chris Backemeyer (D)" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „NE-01 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $26.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „NE-01 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „NE-01 Wahlsieger" ist „Mike Flood (R)" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Chris Backemeyer (D)" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „NE-01 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.