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icon for OH-10 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

OH-10 Wahlsieger

icon for OH-10 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

OH-10 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$38,920 Vol.

Polymarket

$38,920 Vol.

Mike Turner (R)

$18,567 Vol.

84%

Kristina Knickerbocker (D)

$20,353 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner holds a strong position in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward his victory. The district’s Republican lean, rated R+3 to R+6 by analysts, aligns with Turner’s 18-point win in 2024 and consistent overperformance relative to the presidential ticket. Recent redistricting that swapped Clark County for Butler County preserved this baseline. July 2026 polling showed Turner ahead by single digits amid undecided voters, while his substantial fundraising lead and unopposed primary contrasted with the Democratic primary won by Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner Kristina Knickerbocker. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, though national midterm dynamics and Knickerbocker’s focus on local economic and military issues tied to Wright-Patterson Air Force Base could narrow margins in a competitive environment.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,920
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner holds a strong position in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward his victory. The district’s Republican lean, rated R+3 to R+6 by analysts, aligns with Turner’s 18-point win in 2024 and consistent overperformance relative to the presidential ticket. Recent redistricting that swapped Clark County for Butler County preserved this baseline. July 2026 polling showed Turner ahead by single digits amid undecided voters, while his substantial fundraising lead and unopposed primary contrasted with the Democratic primary won by Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner Kristina Knickerbocker. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, though national midterm dynamics and Knickerbocker’s focus on local economic and military issues tied to Wright-Patterson Air Force Base could narrow margins in a competitive environment.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,920
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den OH-11 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den OH-11 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den OH-06-Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den OH-06-Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

95%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus OH-09 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus OH-09 gewinnen?

64%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„OH-10 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mike Turner (R)" mit 84%, gefolgt von „Kristina Knickerbocker (D)" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 84¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „OH-10 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $38.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „OH-10 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „OH-10 Wahlsieger" ist „Mike Turner (R)" mit 84%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kristina Knickerbocker (D)" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „OH-10 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.