Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s first Senate seat at 26%, just ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 19%, with all three within the 3-point margin of error on combined vote shares of 19%, 17%, and 16%. The two-vote system and 13-candidate field fragment support, while 67% remain undecided in spontaneous polling and 45% say they could still switch before October 4. Recent campaign launches and local name recognition among former mayors and federal deputies keep the top contenders clustered, with small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation able to reorder first place. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities for the leaders remaining closely matched.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTeresa Surita 49%
Nicoletti 28.9%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.4%
$46,116 Vol.
$46,116 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Teresa Surita
49%
Nicoletti
29%
Helio Bolsonaro
16%
Helena da Asatur
8%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 49%
Nicoletti 28.9%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.4%
$46,116 Vol.
$46,116 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Teresa Surita
$19,263 Vol.
49%
Nicoletti
$10,316 Vol.
29%
Helio Bolsonaro
$7,360 Vol.
16%
Helena da Asatur
$2,472 Vol.
8%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,382 Vol.
3%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s first Senate seat at 26%, just ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 19%, with all three within the 3-point margin of error on combined vote shares of 19%, 17%, and 16%. The two-vote system and 13-candidate field fragment support, while 67% remain undecided in spontaneous polling and 45% say they could still switch before October 4. Recent campaign launches and local name recognition among former mayors and federal deputies keep the top contenders clustered, with small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation able to reorder first place. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities for the leaders remaining closely matched.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volumen
$46,116Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s first Senate seat at 26%, just ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 19%, with all three within the 3-point margin of error on combined vote shares of 19%, 17%, and 16%. The two-vote system and 13-candidate field fragment support, while 67% remain undecided in spontaneous polling and 45% say they could still switch before October 4. Recent campaign launches and local name recognition among former mayors and federal deputies keep the top contenders clustered, with small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation able to reorder first place. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities for the leaders remaining closely matched.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$46,116Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s first Senate seat at 26%, just ahead of Nicoletti (PL) at 20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 19%, with all three within the 3-point margin of error on combined vote shares of 19%, 17%, and 16%. The two-vote system and 13-candidate field fragment support, while 67% remain undecided in spontaneous polling and 45% say they could still switch before October 4. Recent campaign launches and local name recognition among former mayors and federal deputies keep the top contenders clustered, with small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation able to reorder first place. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with probabilities for the leaders remaining closely matched.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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