Recent polling in Tocantins shows incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Senate race for one of two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trading positions behind him in stimulated scenarios from institutes including Real Time, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest through late August 2026. High undecided shares (often 30%+) and voter flexibility keep the contest for second place fluid, as preferences remain unconsolidated weeks before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices Guimarães ahead for second at roughly 46%, followed by Gaguim near 38%, reflecting Guimarães's steadier second-place showings and lower rejection in some surveys, while Gaguim's support fluctuates with coalition dynamics and name recognition. Late shifts in turnout among undecideds or targeted campaigning could widen the gap between these frontrunners for the remaining seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlexandre Guimarães 46%
Gaguim 37.5%
Eduardo Gomes 15.1%
Osvany Luz <1%
$34,535 Vol.
$34,535 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
46%
Gaguim
37%
Eduardo Gomes
15%
Osvany Luz
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 46%
Gaguim 37.5%
Eduardo Gomes 15.1%
Osvany Luz <1%
$34,535 Vol.
$34,535 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$16,475 Vol.
46%
Gaguim
$8,502 Vol.
37%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,432 Vol.
15%
Osvany Luz
$447 Vol.
1%
Eli Borges
$528 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$385 Vol.
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$437 Vol.
1%
Paulo Mourão
$4,488 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$395 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$391 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$345 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$392 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$319 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Senate race for one of two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trading positions behind him in stimulated scenarios from institutes including Real Time, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest through late August 2026. High undecided shares (often 30%+) and voter flexibility keep the contest for second place fluid, as preferences remain unconsolidated weeks before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices Guimarães ahead for second at roughly 46%, followed by Gaguim near 38%, reflecting Guimarães's steadier second-place showings and lower rejection in some surveys, while Gaguim's support fluctuates with coalition dynamics and name recognition. Late shifts in turnout among undecideds or targeted campaigning could widen the gap between these frontrunners for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volumen
$34,535Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Senate race for one of two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trading positions behind him in stimulated scenarios from institutes including Real Time, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest through late August 2026. High undecided shares (often 30%+) and voter flexibility keep the contest for second place fluid, as preferences remain unconsolidated weeks before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices Guimarães ahead for second at roughly 46%, followed by Gaguim near 38%, reflecting Guimarães's steadier second-place showings and lower rejection in some surveys, while Gaguim's support fluctuates with coalition dynamics and name recognition. Late shifts in turnout among undecideds or targeted campaigning could widen the gap between these frontrunners for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$34,535Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Tocantins shows incumbent Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Senate race for one of two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) trading positions behind him in stimulated scenarios from institutes including Real Time, Paraná Pesquisas, and Quaest through late August 2026. High undecided shares (often 30%+) and voter flexibility keep the contest for second place fluid, as preferences remain unconsolidated weeks before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus prices Guimarães ahead for second at roughly 46%, followed by Gaguim near 38%, reflecting Guimarães's steadier second-place showings and lower rejection in some surveys, while Gaguim's support fluctuates with coalition dynamics and name recognition. Late shifts in turnout among undecideds or targeted campaigning could widen the gap between these frontrunners for the remaining seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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