Democrats are favored in the 2026 midterms to regain House control starting in January 2027, giving the party roughly two years before the end of President Trump’s term to advance articles of impeachment. Recent generic ballot polling averages show Democrats ahead by 7–9 points, consistent with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Democratic leaders have indicated they would use impeachment tools if holding the majority, citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct. A narrow Republican House majority currently blocks such efforts, as shown by the September 2026 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution. Traders price the shift in chamber control as the primary driver of the 68.5% implied probability for House passage of articles before January 2029.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Trump vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit angeklagt?
Wird Trump vor Ablauf seiner Amtszeit angeklagt?
Ja
69% Chance
$102,694 Vol.
$102,694 Vol.
20. Jan. 2029
3.25 % verdienen
Ja
69% Chance
$102,694 Vol.
$102,694 Vol.
20. Jan. 2029
3.25 % verdienen
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are favored in the 2026 midterms to regain House control starting in January 2027, giving the party roughly two years before the end of President Trump’s term to advance articles of impeachment. Recent generic ballot polling averages show Democrats ahead by 7–9 points, consistent with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Democratic leaders have indicated they would use impeachment tools if holding the majority, citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct. A narrow Republican House majority currently blocks such efforts, as shown by the September 2026 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution. Traders price the shift in chamber control as the primary driver of the 68.5% implied probability for House passage of articles before January 2029.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$102,694Enddatum
20. Jan. 2029Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are favored in the 2026 midterms to regain House control starting in January 2027, giving the party roughly two years before the end of President Trump’s term to advance articles of impeachment. Recent generic ballot polling averages show Democrats ahead by 7–9 points, consistent with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Democratic leaders have indicated they would use impeachment tools if holding the majority, citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct. A narrow Republican House majority currently blocks such efforts, as shown by the September 2026 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution. Traders price the shift in chamber control as the primary driver of the 68.5% implied probability for House passage of articles before January 2029.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$102,694Enddatum
20. Jan. 2029Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Democrats are favored in the 2026 midterms to regain House control starting in January 2027, giving the party roughly two years before the end of President Trump’s term to advance articles of impeachment. Recent generic ballot polling averages show Democrats ahead by 7–9 points, consistent with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Democratic leaders have indicated they would use impeachment tools if holding the majority, citing administration actions on immigration enforcement and related agency conduct. A narrow Republican House majority currently blocks such efforts, as shown by the September 2026 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution. Traders price the shift in chamber control as the primary driver of the 68.5% implied probability for House passage of articles before January 2029.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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