Recent July 2026 CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down slightly from 3.5% in June, combined with the Cleveland Fed's August nowcast of 3.37% headline and 2.38% core, anchors trader expectations around 3.3-3.4%. Persistent pressures from tariff pass-through on goods, elevated energy prices amid Middle East supply risks, and AI-driven demand for components have kept inflation sticky above the Fed's 2% target, with core PCE near 3.3%. The market-implied distribution—led by 3.4% at 45.5% and 3.3% at 32.5%—reflects aggregated sentiment that these forces will produce modest sequential moderation rather than sharp disinflation ahead of the September 11 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,4% 45%
3.3% 33%
3,5% 11%
3,2% 8.2%
$47,145 Vol.
$47,145 Vol.
10 sep 2026
≤2,9%
1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
2%
3,2%
8%
3.3%
33%
3,4%
45%
3,5%
11%
3,6%
2%
3,7%
3%
3,8%
1%
3,9%
1%
≥4.0%
<1%
3,4% 45%
3.3% 33%
3,5% 11%
3,2% 8.2%
$47,145 Vol.
$47,145 Vol.
10 sep 2026
≤2,9%
$1,083 Vol.
1%
3,0%
$1,056 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$1,154 Vol.
2%
3,2%
$1,653 Vol.
8%
3.3%
$10,446 Vol.
33%
3,4%
$15,827 Vol.
45%
3,5%
$10,060 Vol.
11%
3,6%
$1,729 Vol.
2%
3,7%
$1,309 Vol.
3%
3,8%
$958 Vol.
1%
3,9%
$1,050 Vol.
1%
≥4.0%
$821 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down slightly from 3.5% in June, combined with the Cleveland Fed's August nowcast of 3.37% headline and 2.38% core, anchors trader expectations around 3.3-3.4%. Persistent pressures from tariff pass-through on goods, elevated energy prices amid Middle East supply risks, and AI-driven demand for components have kept inflation sticky above the Fed's 2% target, with core PCE near 3.3%. The market-implied distribution—led by 3.4% at 45.5% and 3.3% at 32.5%—reflects aggregated sentiment that these forces will produce modest sequential moderation rather than sharp disinflation ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volumen
$47,145Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down slightly from 3.5% in June, combined with the Cleveland Fed's August nowcast of 3.37% headline and 2.38% core, anchors trader expectations around 3.3-3.4%. Persistent pressures from tariff pass-through on goods, elevated energy prices amid Middle East supply risks, and AI-driven demand for components have kept inflation sticky above the Fed's 2% target, with core PCE near 3.3%. The market-implied distribution—led by 3.4% at 45.5% and 3.3% at 32.5%—reflects aggregated sentiment that these forces will produce modest sequential moderation rather than sharp disinflation ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$47,145Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, down slightly from 3.5% in June, combined with the Cleveland Fed's August nowcast of 3.37% headline and 2.38% core, anchors trader expectations around 3.3-3.4%. Persistent pressures from tariff pass-through on goods, elevated energy prices amid Middle East supply risks, and AI-driven demand for components have kept inflation sticky above the Fed's 2% target, with core PCE near 3.3%. The market-implied distribution—led by 3.4% at 45.5% and 3.3% at 32.5%—reflects aggregated sentiment that these forces will produce modest sequential moderation rather than sharp disinflation ahead of the September 11 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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