Recent monthly CPI prints in South Africa, including a June 2026 peak of 5.0% driven by transport and fuel costs before easing to 4.3% in July, have anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average near 4.4–5.0%. Elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, alongside the South African Reserve Bank’s 7% policy rate and emphasis on returning inflation to its 3% target, sustain upward pressure on implied probabilities for the higher brackets. Food inflation remains subdued near 1%, providing some offset, while core measures hover around 4.2%. The closely contested 4.4–5.0% ranges reflect uncertainty over whether August–December fuel rebounds or rand stability will push the annual figure above or below 4.7%, with upcoming September data and SARB communications serving as key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado4,7-5,0% 26.2%
4,4-4,7% 21.5%
>5,0% 18.3%
2,9-3,2% 5.9%
$42,449 Vol.
$42,449 Vol.
19 ene 2027
<2,6%
<1%
2,6-2,9%
<1%
2,9-3,2%
6%
3,2-3,5%
3%
3,5-3,8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
5%
4,1-4,4%
5%
4,4-4,7%
22%
4,7-5,0%
26%
>5,0%
18%
4,7-5,0% 26.2%
4,4-4,7% 21.5%
>5,0% 18.3%
2,9-3,2% 5.9%
$42,449 Vol.
$42,449 Vol.
19 ene 2027
<2,6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2,6-2,9%
$1,864 Vol.
<1%
2,9-3,2%
$1,564 Vol.
6%
3,2-3,5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3,5-3,8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3.8-4.1%
$3,448 Vol.
5%
4,1-4,4%
$3,359 Vol.
5%
4,4-4,7%
$14,995 Vol.
22%
4,7-5,0%
$3,898 Vol.
26%
>5,0%
$9,058 Vol.
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent monthly CPI prints in South Africa, including a June 2026 peak of 5.0% driven by transport and fuel costs before easing to 4.3% in July, have anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average near 4.4–5.0%. Elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, alongside the South African Reserve Bank’s 7% policy rate and emphasis on returning inflation to its 3% target, sustain upward pressure on implied probabilities for the higher brackets. Food inflation remains subdued near 1%, providing some offset, while core measures hover around 4.2%. The closely contested 4.4–5.0% ranges reflect uncertainty over whether August–December fuel rebounds or rand stability will push the annual figure above or below 4.7%, with upcoming September data and SARB communications serving as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$42,449Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent monthly CPI prints in South Africa, including a June 2026 peak of 5.0% driven by transport and fuel costs before easing to 4.3% in July, have anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average near 4.4–5.0%. Elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, alongside the South African Reserve Bank’s 7% policy rate and emphasis on returning inflation to its 3% target, sustain upward pressure on implied probabilities for the higher brackets. Food inflation remains subdued near 1%, providing some offset, while core measures hover around 4.2%. The closely contested 4.4–5.0% ranges reflect uncertainty over whether August–December fuel rebounds or rand stability will push the annual figure above or below 4.7%, with upcoming September data and SARB communications serving as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volumen
$42,449Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly CPI prints in South Africa, including a June 2026 peak of 5.0% driven by transport and fuel costs before easing to 4.3% in July, have anchored trader expectations for the full-year 2026 average near 4.4–5.0%. Elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, alongside the South African Reserve Bank’s 7% policy rate and emphasis on returning inflation to its 3% target, sustain upward pressure on implied probabilities for the higher brackets. Food inflation remains subdued near 1%, providing some offset, while core measures hover around 4.2%. The closely contested 4.4–5.0% ranges reflect uncertainty over whether August–December fuel rebounds or rand stability will push the annual figure above or below 4.7%, with upcoming September data and SARB communications serving as key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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