**Rising energy costs and rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel are the main factors positioning 5.1%+ as the leading outcome for August 2026 PPI YoY at 68.5% implied probability.** July's reading cooled to 4.7% from 5.5% in June on sharp energy declines, but analysts now anticipate a reversal driven by higher crude and related inputs, with consensus forecasts clustering around 5.2-5.3%. Persistent services pressures and base effects from earlier energy spikes reinforce expectations of an uptick. The September 10 release arrives ahead of the FOMC meeting, where traders weigh these upstream signals against the July CPI's 3.4% print and broader monetary policy path. Market odds reflect real-capital consensus on whether pipeline relief will hold or reverse into final demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado5,1%+ 69%
4,9% 5.6%
5,0% 5.3%
4,6% 5.0%
$19,224 Vol.
$19,224 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4,3%
1%
4,4%
1%
4,5%
2%
4,6%
5%
4,7%
4%
4,8%
4%
4,9%
6%
5,0%
5%
5,1%+
69%
5,1%+ 69%
4,9% 5.6%
5,0% 5.3%
4,6% 5.0%
$19,224 Vol.
$19,224 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4,3%
1%
4,4%
1%
4,5%
2%
4,6%
5%
4,7%
4%
4,8%
4%
4,9%
6%
5,0%
5%
5,1%+
69%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rising energy costs and rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel are the main factors positioning 5.1%+ as the leading outcome for August 2026 PPI YoY at 68.5% implied probability.** July's reading cooled to 4.7% from 5.5% in June on sharp energy declines, but analysts now anticipate a reversal driven by higher crude and related inputs, with consensus forecasts clustering around 5.2-5.3%. Persistent services pressures and base effects from earlier energy spikes reinforce expectations of an uptick. The September 10 release arrives ahead of the FOMC meeting, where traders weigh these upstream signals against the July CPI's 3.4% print and broader monetary policy path. Market odds reflect real-capital consensus on whether pipeline relief will hold or reverse into final demand.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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