Trader consensus for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI centers on readings in the mid-50s, with the 54.0–54.9 range carrying the highest implied probability at 33%. This distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in the services sector amid moderating consumer spending, persistent but cooling inflation pressures, and a resilient yet softening labor market. Recent economic releases, including August nonfarm payrolls and CPI figures, have shaped expectations for business activity, new orders, and employment sub-indices, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to influence rate-sensitive demand. The broad spread across outcomes underscores the potential for revisions in leading indicators or last-minute data surprises ahead of the early-October release, with probabilities anchored by real-capital positioning rather than point forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado54.0 a 54.9 33%
55.0 a 55.9 23%
57.0 a 57.9 17.9%
53.0 a 53.9 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
<51.0
1%
51.0 a 51.9
1%
52.0 a 52.9
4%
53.0 a 53.9
11%
54.0 a 54.9
33%
55.0 a 55.9
23%
56.0 a 56.9
10%
57.0 a 57.9
18%
58.0 a 58.9
10%
59.0+
9%
54.0 a 54.9 33%
55.0 a 55.9 23%
57.0 a 57.9 17.9%
53.0 a 53.9 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
<51.0
$832 Vol.
1%
51.0 a 51.9
$127 Vol.
1%
52.0 a 52.9
$127 Vol.
4%
53.0 a 53.9
$370 Vol.
11%
54.0 a 54.9
$3,857 Vol.
33%
55.0 a 55.9
$168 Vol.
23%
56.0 a 56.9
$670 Vol.
10%
57.0 a 57.9
$1,918 Vol.
18%
58.0 a 58.9
$139 Vol.
10%
59.0+
$168 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI centers on readings in the mid-50s, with the 54.0–54.9 range carrying the highest implied probability at 33%. This distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in the services sector amid moderating consumer spending, persistent but cooling inflation pressures, and a resilient yet softening labor market. Recent economic releases, including August nonfarm payrolls and CPI figures, have shaped expectations for business activity, new orders, and employment sub-indices, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to influence rate-sensitive demand. The broad spread across outcomes underscores the potential for revisions in leading indicators or last-minute data surprises ahead of the early-October release, with probabilities anchored by real-capital positioning rather than point forecasts.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$8,376Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI centers on readings in the mid-50s, with the 54.0–54.9 range carrying the highest implied probability at 33%. This distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in the services sector amid moderating consumer spending, persistent but cooling inflation pressures, and a resilient yet softening labor market. Recent economic releases, including August nonfarm payrolls and CPI figures, have shaped expectations for business activity, new orders, and employment sub-indices, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to influence rate-sensitive demand. The broad spread across outcomes underscores the potential for revisions in leading indicators or last-minute data surprises ahead of the early-October release, with probabilities anchored by real-capital positioning rather than point forecasts.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$8,376Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI centers on readings in the mid-50s, with the 54.0–54.9 range carrying the highest implied probability at 33%. This distribution reflects ongoing uncertainty in the services sector amid moderating consumer spending, persistent but cooling inflation pressures, and a resilient yet softening labor market. Recent economic releases, including August nonfarm payrolls and CPI figures, have shaped expectations for business activity, new orders, and employment sub-indices, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to influence rate-sensitive demand. The broad spread across outcomes underscores the potential for revisions in leading indicators or last-minute data surprises ahead of the early-October release, with probabilities anchored by real-capital positioning rather than point forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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