Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the California 32nd congressional district reflects the seat’s strong Democratic lean, his 15-term incumbency, and consistent primary performance that placed him atop a crowded field in June 2026. The district, encompassing portions of Los Angeles and Ventura counties including Malibu and Simi Valley, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, and Sherman previously defeated the same Republican opponent by a 66-34 margin in 2024. Larry Thompson advanced as the top Republican but has trailed significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or dramatic national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-32 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-32 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,127 Vol.
$26,127 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brad Sherman (D)
95%
Larry Thompson (R)
1%
$26,127 Vol.
$26,127 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brad Sherman (D)
$12,387 Vol.
95%
Larry Thompson (R)
$13,740 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the California 32nd congressional district reflects the seat’s strong Democratic lean, his 15-term incumbency, and consistent primary performance that placed him atop a crowded field in June 2026. The district, encompassing portions of Los Angeles and Ventura counties including Malibu and Simi Valley, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, and Sherman previously defeated the same Republican opponent by a 66-34 margin in 2024. Larry Thompson advanced as the top Republican but has trailed significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or dramatic national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$26,127Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the California 32nd congressional district reflects the seat’s strong Democratic lean, his 15-term incumbency, and consistent primary performance that placed him atop a crowded field in June 2026. The district, encompassing portions of Los Angeles and Ventura counties including Malibu and Simi Valley, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, and Sherman previously defeated the same Republican opponent by a 66-34 margin in 2024. Larry Thompson advanced as the top Republican but has trailed significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or dramatic national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,127Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the California 32nd congressional district reflects the seat’s strong Democratic lean, his 15-term incumbency, and consistent primary performance that placed him atop a crowded field in June 2026. The district, encompassing portions of Los Angeles and Ventura counties including Malibu and Simi Valley, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by double digits, and Sherman previously defeated the same Republican opponent by a 66-34 margin in 2024. Larry Thompson advanced as the top Republican but has trailed significantly in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or dramatic national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s composition make such reversals uncommon before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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