Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index, following his narrow 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic, bolstered by Riley’s substantial fundraising edge—over $4.8 million raised versus Oberacker’s $1.2 million—and cash-on-hand advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Oberacker secured the Republican nomination in June but trails in established metrics for challenger viability in this Upstate New York district. Potential shifts could arise from major national political developments, candidate-specific scandals, or intensified voter focus on issues such as utility costs and economic conditions in the final weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$21,706 Vol.
$21,706 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Riley (D)
95%
Peter Oberacker (R)
5%
$21,706 Vol.
$21,706 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Josh Riley (D)
$10,728 Vol.
95%
Peter Oberacker (R)
$10,978 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index, following his narrow 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic, bolstered by Riley’s substantial fundraising edge—over $4.8 million raised versus Oberacker’s $1.2 million—and cash-on-hand advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Oberacker secured the Republican nomination in June but trails in established metrics for challenger viability in this Upstate New York district. Potential shifts could arise from major national political developments, candidate-specific scandals, or intensified voter focus on issues such as utility costs and economic conditions in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$21,706Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index, following his narrow 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic, bolstered by Riley’s substantial fundraising edge—over $4.8 million raised versus Oberacker’s $1.2 million—and cash-on-hand advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Oberacker secured the Republican nomination in June but trails in established metrics for challenger viability in this Upstate New York district. Potential shifts could arise from major national political developments, candidate-specific scandals, or intensified voter focus on issues such as utility costs and economic conditions in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,706Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index, following his narrow 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the seat as Lean or Likely Democratic, bolstered by Riley’s substantial fundraising edge—over $4.8 million raised versus Oberacker’s $1.2 million—and cash-on-hand advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Oberacker secured the Republican nomination in June but trails in established metrics for challenger viability in this Upstate New York district. Potential shifts could arise from major national political developments, candidate-specific scandals, or intensified voter focus on issues such as utility costs and economic conditions in the final weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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