Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his established name recognition from prior terms, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, with limited polling showing Ryan ahead by double digits and the Cook Political Report rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Auringer, a political newcomer backed by some Republican endorsements, has focused attacks on issues like campaign donations and local policy, yet these have not narrowed the gap. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Ryan could shift with late developments such as major scandals, health incidents, or significant national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$42,968 Vol.
$42,968 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
7%
$42,968 Vol.
$42,968 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
$33,591 Vol.
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
$9,377 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his established name recognition from prior terms, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, with limited polling showing Ryan ahead by double digits and the Cook Political Report rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Auringer, a political newcomer backed by some Republican endorsements, has focused attacks on issues like campaign donations and local policy, yet these have not narrowed the gap. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Ryan could shift with late developments such as major scandals, health incidents, or significant national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$42,968Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his established name recognition from prior terms, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, with limited polling showing Ryan ahead by double digits and the Cook Political Report rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Auringer, a political newcomer backed by some Republican endorsements, has focused attacks on issues like campaign donations and local policy, yet these have not narrowed the gap. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Ryan could shift with late developments such as major scandals, health incidents, or significant national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,968Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in the NY-18 House race due to the district’s solid Democratic lean, his established name recognition from prior terms, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Jacqueline Auringer’s limited resources. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, with limited polling showing Ryan ahead by double digits and the Cook Political Report rating the seat as solidly Democratic. Auringer, a political newcomer backed by some Republican endorsements, has focused attacks on issues like campaign donations and local policy, yet these have not narrowed the gap. Trader consensus at 93 percent for Ryan could shift with late developments such as major scandals, health incidents, or significant national political realignments before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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