Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning her as the clear challenger to incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November general election for New York’s 17th Congressional District. The Hudson Valley seat ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races, with a partisan voting index near even and roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, reflecting its status as a top Democratic target for flipping control of the House. Conley’s military background and national security experience have drawn endorsements from groups like VoteVets and support from figures such as Pete Buttigieg, while Lawler highlights his local roots and legislative record. Trader consensus assigns Conley the higher implied probability amid heavy outside spending expected from both parties ahead of Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$16,808 Vol.
$16,808 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Cait Conley (D)
65%
Mike Lawler (R)
33%
$16,808 Vol.
$16,808 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Cait Conley (D)
$6,825 Vol.
65%
Mike Lawler (R)
$9,983 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning her as the clear challenger to incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November general election for New York’s 17th Congressional District. The Hudson Valley seat ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races, with a partisan voting index near even and roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, reflecting its status as a top Democratic target for flipping control of the House. Conley’s military background and national security experience have drawn endorsements from groups like VoteVets and support from figures such as Pete Buttigieg, while Lawler highlights his local roots and legislative record. Trader consensus assigns Conley the higher implied probability amid heavy outside spending expected from both parties ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$16,808Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning her as the clear challenger to incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November general election for New York’s 17th Congressional District. The Hudson Valley seat ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races, with a partisan voting index near even and roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, reflecting its status as a top Democratic target for flipping control of the House. Conley’s military background and national security experience have drawn endorsements from groups like VoteVets and support from figures such as Pete Buttigieg, while Lawler highlights his local roots and legislative record. Trader consensus assigns Conley the higher implied probability amid heavy outside spending expected from both parties ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,808Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating a crowded primary field, positioning her as the clear challenger to incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in the November general election for New York’s 17th Congressional District. The Hudson Valley seat ranks among the nation’s most competitive House races, with a partisan voting index near even and roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, reflecting its status as a top Democratic target for flipping control of the House. Conley’s military background and national security experience have drawn endorsements from groups like VoteVets and support from figures such as Pete Buttigieg, while Lawler highlights his local roots and legislative record. Trader consensus assigns Conley the higher implied probability amid heavy outside spending expected from both parties ahead of Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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