Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and current lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee and former broadcaster Michele Tafoya after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for Flanagan stems primarily from the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan's broad institutional support including endorsements from party leaders and progressives, and structural advantages for the non-incumbent party in midterm environments. Recent polls show a narrower margin of 2–5 points, highlighting competitiveness on issues such as state fiscal scandals and voter turnout among key demographics. Late developments including shifts in independent support, national economic conditions, or campaign spending surges could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$68,624 Vol.
$68,624 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,624 Vol.
$68,624 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$49,979 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,645 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and current lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee and former broadcaster Michele Tafoya after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for Flanagan stems primarily from the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan's broad institutional support including endorsements from party leaders and progressives, and structural advantages for the non-incumbent party in midterm environments. Recent polls show a narrower margin of 2–5 points, highlighting competitiveness on issues such as state fiscal scandals and voter turnout among key demographics. Late developments including shifts in independent support, national economic conditions, or campaign spending surges could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$68,624Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and current lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee and former broadcaster Michele Tafoya after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for Flanagan stems primarily from the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan's broad institutional support including endorsements from party leaders and progressives, and structural advantages for the non-incumbent party in midterm environments. Recent polls show a narrower margin of 2–5 points, highlighting competitiveness on issues such as state fiscal scandals and voter turnout among key demographics. Late developments including shifts in independent support, national economic conditions, or campaign spending surges could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$68,624Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and current lieutenant governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee and former broadcaster Michele Tafoya after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. Trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for Flanagan stems primarily from the state's consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, Flanagan's broad institutional support including endorsements from party leaders and progressives, and structural advantages for the non-incumbent party in midterm environments. Recent polls show a narrower margin of 2–5 points, highlighting competitiveness on issues such as state fiscal scandals and voter turnout among key demographics. Late developments including shifts in independent support, national economic conditions, or campaign spending surges could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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