Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and House majority whip, holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Emmer secured the Republican nomination with 81% in the August 11 primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin, a college professor, ran unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the district’s consistent margins, including Emmer’s 62% victory in 2024. Chapin’s campaign has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent’s substantial war chest. A late national shift, major scandal, or health event could alter the trajectory, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-06
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-06
$42,458 Vol.
$42,458 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
10%
$42,458 Vol.
$42,458 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,800 Vol.
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
$18,658 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and House majority whip, holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Emmer secured the Republican nomination with 81% in the August 11 primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin, a college professor, ran unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the district’s consistent margins, including Emmer’s 62% victory in 2024. Chapin’s campaign has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent’s substantial war chest. A late national shift, major scandal, or health event could alter the trajectory, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$42,458Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and House majority whip, holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Emmer secured the Republican nomination with 81% in the August 11 primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin, a college professor, ran unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the district’s consistent margins, including Emmer’s 62% victory in 2024. Chapin’s campaign has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent’s substantial war chest. A late national shift, major scandal, or health event could alter the trajectory, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,458Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer, the Republican incumbent and House majority whip, holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has not elected a Democrat since 1998. Emmer secured the Republican nomination with 81% in the August 11 primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin, a college professor, ran unopposed in his primary. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on the district’s consistent margins, including Emmer’s 62% victory in 2024. Chapin’s campaign has raised limited funds relative to the incumbent’s substantial war chest. A late national shift, major scandal, or health event could alter the trajectory, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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