Michelle Fischbach, the Republican incumbent representing Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District since 2021, maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent 2024 results showing her victory by roughly 40 points. The rural western Minnesota seat, encompassing agricultural areas around Moorhead, Willmar, and Alexandria, has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles, and Fischbach secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Erik Osberg, a marketing firm owner, emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major undisclosed scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift producing unusually high Democratic turnout, though these remain low-probability events given historical patterns and structural advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-07
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-07
$24,259 Vol.
$24,259 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Michelle Fischbach (R)
95%
Erik Osberg (D)
6%
$24,259 Vol.
$24,259 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Michelle Fischbach (R)
$6,265 Vol.
95%
Erik Osberg (D)
$17,994 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michelle Fischbach, the Republican incumbent representing Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District since 2021, maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent 2024 results showing her victory by roughly 40 points. The rural western Minnesota seat, encompassing agricultural areas around Moorhead, Willmar, and Alexandria, has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles, and Fischbach secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Erik Osberg, a marketing firm owner, emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major undisclosed scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift producing unusually high Democratic turnout, though these remain low-probability events given historical patterns and structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$24,259Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michelle Fischbach, the Republican incumbent representing Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District since 2021, maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent 2024 results showing her victory by roughly 40 points. The rural western Minnesota seat, encompassing agricultural areas around Moorhead, Willmar, and Alexandria, has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles, and Fischbach secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Erik Osberg, a marketing firm owner, emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major undisclosed scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift producing unusually high Democratic turnout, though these remain low-probability events given historical patterns and structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,259Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michelle Fischbach, the Republican incumbent representing Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District since 2021, maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent 2024 results showing her victory by roughly 40 points. The rural western Minnesota seat, encompassing agricultural areas around Moorhead, Willmar, and Alexandria, has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles, and Fischbach secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Erik Osberg, a marketing firm owner, emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major undisclosed scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift producing unusually high Democratic turnout, though these remain low-probability events given historical patterns and structural advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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