Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his 2024 reelection margin, the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, and a dominant August primary performance exceeding 90 percent. Republican primary turnout nearly matched Democratic levels, signaling unified party support. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school teacher and first-time candidate, has narrowed the gap through comparable fundraising near $2 million each, national Democratic attention on the seat, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. Johnson’s emphasis on town halls and local outreach has highlighted contrasts with the incumbent, though forecasters rate the race as Likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Finstad alongside pockets of competitiveness in growing areas like Rochester and Mankato.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMN-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MN-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$42,186 Vol.
$42,186 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
77%
Jake Johnson (D)
17%
$42,186 Vol.
$42,186 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
$15,932 Vol.
77%
Jake Johnson (D)
$26,254 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his 2024 reelection margin, the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, and a dominant August primary performance exceeding 90 percent. Republican primary turnout nearly matched Democratic levels, signaling unified party support. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school teacher and first-time candidate, has narrowed the gap through comparable fundraising near $2 million each, national Democratic attention on the seat, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. Johnson’s emphasis on town halls and local outreach has highlighted contrasts with the incumbent, though forecasters rate the race as Likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Finstad alongside pockets of competitiveness in growing areas like Rochester and Mankato.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$42,186Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his 2024 reelection margin, the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, and a dominant August primary performance exceeding 90 percent. Republican primary turnout nearly matched Democratic levels, signaling unified party support. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school teacher and first-time candidate, has narrowed the gap through comparable fundraising near $2 million each, national Democratic attention on the seat, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. Johnson’s emphasis on town halls and local outreach has highlighted contrasts with the incumbent, though forecasters rate the race as Likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Finstad alongside pockets of competitiveness in growing areas like Rochester and Mankato.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,186Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his 2024 reelection margin, the district’s R+6 partisan voting index, and a dominant August primary performance exceeding 90 percent. Republican primary turnout nearly matched Democratic levels, signaling unified party support. Democrat Jake Johnson, a high school teacher and first-time candidate, has narrowed the gap through comparable fundraising near $2 million each, national Democratic attention on the seat, and an endorsement from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson. Johnson’s emphasis on town halls and local outreach has highlighted contrasts with the incumbent, though forecasters rate the race as Likely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for Finstad alongside pockets of competitiveness in growing areas like Rochester and Mankato.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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