Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Florida Senate special election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt and her position as the appointed incumbent completing Marco Rubio's term. Moody secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary and benefits from endorsements including from President Trump, along with substantial fundraising and alignment with state leadership under Governor DeSantis. Democrat Angie Nixon, who won her primary as a progressive state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent Senate contests. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with Florida's voting patterns since 2012. Late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit realistic paths for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$111,823 Vol.
$111,823 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$111,823 Vol.
$111,823 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$56,363 Vol.
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,461 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Florida Senate special election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt and her position as the appointed incumbent completing Marco Rubio's term. Moody secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary and benefits from endorsements including from President Trump, along with substantial fundraising and alignment with state leadership under Governor DeSantis. Democrat Angie Nixon, who won her primary as a progressive state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent Senate contests. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with Florida's voting patterns since 2012. Late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$111,823Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Florida Senate special election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt and her position as the appointed incumbent completing Marco Rubio's term. Moody secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary and benefits from endorsements including from President Trump, along with substantial fundraising and alignment with state leadership under Governor DeSantis. Democrat Angie Nixon, who won her primary as a progressive state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent Senate contests. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with Florida's voting patterns since 2012. Late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$111,823Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Florida Senate special election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's consistent Republican tilt and her position as the appointed incumbent completing Marco Rubio's term. Moody secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80% in the August primary and benefits from endorsements including from President Trump, along with substantial fundraising and alignment with state leadership under Governor DeSantis. Democrat Angie Nixon, who won her primary as a progressive state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent Senate contests. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 10 points, consistent with Florida's voting patterns since 2012. Late developments such as major scandals, significant turnout shifts among key demographics, or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals limit realistic paths for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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