California's 37th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates through its June 2026 top-two primary, with incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove securing roughly 55 percent and Samantha Mota advancing in second place ahead of the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic voter registration edge and D+33 partisan lean have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. With the November general election now an intra-party contest, traders assign the Democratic nominee a 96.3 percent implied probability of victory. The sole realistic path to a different outcome would require an unforeseen vacancy or disqualification of both Democratic finalists before Election Day, an event with no current indication.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-37 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-37 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,044 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$1,356 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates through its June 2026 top-two primary, with incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove securing roughly 55 percent and Samantha Mota advancing in second place ahead of the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic voter registration edge and D+33 partisan lean have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. With the November general election now an intra-party contest, traders assign the Democratic nominee a 96.3 percent implied probability of victory. The sole realistic path to a different outcome would require an unforeseen vacancy or disqualification of both Democratic finalists before Election Day, an event with no current indication.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,400Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates through its June 2026 top-two primary, with incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove securing roughly 55 percent and Samantha Mota advancing in second place ahead of the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic voter registration edge and D+33 partisan lean have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. With the November general election now an intra-party contest, traders assign the Democratic nominee a 96.3 percent implied probability of victory. The sole realistic path to a different outcome would require an unforeseen vacancy or disqualification of both Democratic finalists before Election Day, an event with no current indication.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,400Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 37th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates through its June 2026 top-two primary, with incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove securing roughly 55 percent and Samantha Mota advancing in second place ahead of the leading Republican. The district's strong Democratic voter registration edge and D+33 partisan lean have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. With the November general election now an intra-party contest, traders assign the Democratic nominee a 96.3 percent implied probability of victory. The sole realistic path to a different outcome would require an unforeseen vacancy or disqualification of both Democratic finalists before Election Day, an event with no current indication.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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