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¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

icon for ¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

28% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

28% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and the Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges Truth Social’s Truth API paid early-access service—launched August 1 and charging up to $100,000 monthly for priority feeds of President Trump’s posts and other high-profile accounts—on First Amendment grounds of unequal access to official statements. The complaint seeks declaratory and injunctive relief, but the case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction typically span weeks or months, leaving insufficient time before the October 31, 2026, deadline for the relief needed to halt sales. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, and traders view the early procedural posture as the dominant factor behind the 72% implied probability that no blocking order will issue by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,321
Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and the Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges Truth Social’s Truth API paid early-access service—launched August 1 and charging up to $100,000 monthly for priority feeds of President Trump’s posts and other high-profile accounts—on First Amendment grounds of unequal access to official statements. The complaint seeks declaratory and injunctive relief, but the case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and any preliminary injunction typically span weeks or months, leaving insufficient time before the October 31, 2026, deadline for the relief needed to halt sales. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, and traders view the early procedural posture as the dominant factor behind the 72% implied probability that no blocking order will issue by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,321
Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso anticipado de Truth Social de Trump por $100,000 antes del 31 de octubre?" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" es "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso anticipado de Truth Social de Trump por $100,000 antes del 31 de octubre?" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.