Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de DE-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de DE-AL
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,359 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$43,260Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,260Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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