Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by Byron Donalds's gubernatorial campaign. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field that included several higher-profile challengers, benefiting from local name recognition as a Southwest Florida businessman and radio station owner plus endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan. Victor Arias advanced as the Democratic nominee after a close primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de FL-19
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de FL-19
$17,852 Vol.
$17,852 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Schwartzel (R)
95%
Victor Arias (D)
6%
$17,852 Vol.
$17,852 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Schwartzel (R)
$6,159 Vol.
95%
Victor Arias (D)
$11,692 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by Byron Donalds's gubernatorial campaign. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field that included several higher-profile challengers, benefiting from local name recognition as a Southwest Florida businessman and radio station owner plus endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan. Victor Arias advanced as the Democratic nominee after a close primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$17,852Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by Byron Donalds's gubernatorial campaign. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field that included several higher-profile challengers, benefiting from local name recognition as a Southwest Florida businessman and radio station owner plus endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan. Victor Arias advanced as the Democratic nominee after a close primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,852Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by Byron Donalds's gubernatorial campaign. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a plurality in a crowded field that included several higher-profile challengers, benefiting from local name recognition as a Southwest Florida businessman and radio station owner plus endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan. Victor Arias advanced as the Democratic nominee after a close primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting its consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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