Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Carlos Giménez (R)
94%
Phil Ehr (D)
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Carlos Giménez (R)
$33,834 Vol.
94%
Phil Ehr (D)
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$57,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$57,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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