Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, his unopposed primary, and substantial self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest as solidly Democratic, with recent polls showing Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his primary decisively in March, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have prevailed in every gubernatorial election since 2002. Recent developments, including President Trump's September endorsement of Bailey, have not altered the market consensus. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-campaign developments, significant polling errors, or unforeseen events affecting turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.
2 nov 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
98%
Darren Bailey (R)
2%
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.
2 nov 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
$5,430 Vol.
98%
Darren Bailey (R)
$6,241 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, his unopposed primary, and substantial self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest as solidly Democratic, with recent polls showing Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his primary decisively in March, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have prevailed in every gubernatorial election since 2002. Recent developments, including President Trump's September endorsement of Bailey, have not altered the market consensus. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-campaign developments, significant polling errors, or unforeseen events affecting turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$11,672Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, his unopposed primary, and substantial self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest as solidly Democratic, with recent polls showing Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his primary decisively in March, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have prevailed in every gubernatorial election since 2002. Recent developments, including President Trump's September endorsement of Bailey, have not altered the market consensus. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-campaign developments, significant polling errors, or unforeseen events affecting turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$11,672Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in recent statewide contests, his unopposed primary, and substantial self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the contest as solidly Democratic, with recent polls showing Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who won his primary decisively in March, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have prevailed in every gubernatorial election since 2002. Recent developments, including President Trump's September endorsement of Bailey, have not altered the market consensus. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major late-campaign developments, significant polling errors, or unforeseen events affecting turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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