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icon for Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación

4.25M-4.5M 40%

4M-4.25M 35%

4.5M-4.75M 14%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

4.25M-4.5M 40%

4M-4.25M 35%

4.5M-4.75M 14%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<3.25M

$632 Vol.

4%

3.25M-3.5M

$1,561 Vol.

1%

3.5M-3.75M

$505 Vol.

5%

3.75M-4M

$422 Vol.

11%

4M-4.25M

$1,969 Vol.

35%

4.25M-4.5M

$1,733 Vol.

40%

4.5M-4.75M

$1,635 Vol.

14%

4.75M+

$880 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader prices around 4M–4.5M total votes reflect a low-competition U.S. Senate contest in a solidly Democratic state, where Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton faces Republican Don Tracy in a race rated Safe or Solid D by major forecasters. Primary turnout data from March 2026 showed a roughly 50% surge in Democratic participation compared with 2022, driven by competitive nominations and national political engagement, while Republican primary numbers lagged. Concurrent statewide races, including the governor’s contest, along with early voting access and registration deadlines approaching in October, shape expectations for general election participation. Historical midterm patterns and limited Republican mobilization in non-battleground conditions keep the outcome range narrow, with any late shifts in voter enthusiasm or weather on Election Day November 3 potentially separating the leading bins.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,337
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader prices around 4M–4.5M total votes reflect a low-competition U.S. Senate contest in a solidly Democratic state, where Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton faces Republican Don Tracy in a race rated Safe or Solid D by major forecasters. Primary turnout data from March 2026 showed a roughly 50% surge in Democratic participation compared with 2022, driven by competitive nominations and national political engagement, while Republican primary numbers lagged. Concurrent statewide races, including the governor’s contest, along with early voting access and registration deadlines approaching in October, shape expectations for general election participation. Historical midterm patterns and limited Republican mobilization in non-battleground conditions keep the outcome range narrow, with any late shifts in voter enthusiasm or weather on Election Day November 3 potentially separating the leading bins.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,337
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "4.25M-4.5M" con 42%, seguido de "4M-4.25M" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación" es "4.25M-4.5M" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "4M-4.25M" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones al Senado de Illinois: participación" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.