Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, serves as the main catalyst elevating expected participation above typical midterm levels in a state that usually posts among the nation’s lower turnout rates. Traders have placed the highest probability on the 2 million to 2.2 million vote range because this dynamic, paired with other statewide races, historically lifts overall engagement by several points while the lopsided U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw restrains broader mobilization. August primaries showed stronger-than-usual early voting and localized Democratic interest in Shelby County linked to redistricting, supporting modest expansion without shifting consensus toward higher totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones al Senado de Tennessee: participación
Elecciones al Senado de Tennessee: participación
2M-2.2M 44%
1.8M-2M 32.6%
2.2M-2.4M 15%
1.6M-1.8M 8.5%
$10,326 Vol.
$10,326 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<1.6M
<1%
1.6M-1.8M
9%
1.8M-2M
33%
2M-2.2M
44%
2.2M-2.4M
15%
2.4M-2.6M
6%
2.6M+
1%
2M-2.2M 44%
1.8M-2M 32.6%
2.2M-2.4M 15%
1.6M-1.8M 8.5%
$10,326 Vol.
$10,326 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<1.6M
$1,287 Vol.
<1%
1.6M-1.8M
$1,849 Vol.
9%
1.8M-2M
$2,112 Vol.
33%
2M-2.2M
$1,615 Vol.
44%
2.2M-2.4M
$1,014 Vol.
15%
2.4M-2.6M
$943 Vol.
6%
2.6M+
$1,506 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, serves as the main catalyst elevating expected participation above typical midterm levels in a state that usually posts among the nation’s lower turnout rates. Traders have placed the highest probability on the 2 million to 2.2 million vote range because this dynamic, paired with other statewide races, historically lifts overall engagement by several points while the lopsided U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw restrains broader mobilization. August primaries showed stronger-than-usual early voting and localized Democratic interest in Shelby County linked to redistricting, supporting modest expansion without shifting consensus toward higher totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volumen
$10,326Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, serves as the main catalyst elevating expected participation above typical midterm levels in a state that usually posts among the nation’s lower turnout rates. Traders have placed the highest probability on the 2 million to 2.2 million vote range because this dynamic, paired with other statewide races, historically lifts overall engagement by several points while the lopsided U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw restrains broader mobilization. August primaries showed stronger-than-usual early voting and localized Democratic interest in Shelby County linked to redistricting, supporting modest expansion without shifting consensus toward higher totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,326Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, serves as the main catalyst elevating expected participation above typical midterm levels in a state that usually posts among the nation’s lower turnout rates. Traders have placed the highest probability on the 2 million to 2.2 million vote range because this dynamic, paired with other statewide races, historically lifts overall engagement by several points while the lopsided U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw restrains broader mobilization. August primaries showed stronger-than-usual early voting and localized Democratic interest in Shelby County linked to redistricting, supporting modest expansion without shifting consensus toward higher totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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