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icon for Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación

1.1M-1.2M 47%

1M-1.1M 31%

900K-1M 11%

1.2M+ 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

1.1M-1.2M 47%

1M-1.1M 31%

900K-1M 11%

1.2M+ 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<800K

$998 Vol.

<1%

800K-900K

$151 Vol.

5%

900K-1M

$81 Vol.

11%

1M-1.1M

$160 Vol.

31%

1.1M-1.2M

$1,965 Vol.

47%

1.2M+

$783 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitiveness of the 2026 Kansas Senate race between incumbent Republican Roger Marshall and Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, stands as the primary driver of elevated turnout expectations in this off-year contest. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by 2–5 points, narrower than historical Republican margins in the state, amid national polling shifts toward Democrats and voter concerns over tariffs, diesel costs, healthcare, immigration, and foreign policy developments including Iran. This dynamic, alongside the concurrent gubernatorial matchup, has increased campaign activity and voter engagement relative to the roughly 1.005 million total ballots cast in the 2022 Senate election. Trader consensus around the 1.1–1.2 million range reflects these factors, tempered by Kansas’s consistent partisan baseline and typical midterm participation patterns.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,137
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitiveness of the 2026 Kansas Senate race between incumbent Republican Roger Marshall and Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Methodist pastor, stands as the primary driver of elevated turnout expectations in this off-year contest. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by 2–5 points, narrower than historical Republican margins in the state, amid national polling shifts toward Democrats and voter concerns over tariffs, diesel costs, healthcare, immigration, and foreign policy developments including Iran. This dynamic, alongside the concurrent gubernatorial matchup, has increased campaign activity and voter engagement relative to the roughly 1.005 million total ballots cast in the 2022 Senate election. Trader consensus around the 1.1–1.2 million range reflects these factors, tempered by Kansas’s consistent partisan baseline and typical midterm participation patterns.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,137
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1.1M-1.2M" con 47%, seguido de "1M-1.1M" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación" es "1.1M-1.2M" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1M-1.1M" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones al Senado de Kansas: participación" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.