Illinois's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the open seat left by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March primary victory over Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, secured with substantial support from Gov. JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, established strong party infrastructure and name recognition heading into the general election. Former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy won his party's nomination in a lower-profile contest but faces the structural reality that no Republican has won a statewide race in Illinois since 2014. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or candidate-specific developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$32,364 Vol.
$32,364 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$32,364 Vol.
$32,364 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,553 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the open seat left by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March primary victory over Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, secured with substantial support from Gov. JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, established strong party infrastructure and name recognition heading into the general election. Former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy won his party's nomination in a lower-profile contest but faces the structural reality that no Republican has won a statewide race in Illinois since 2014. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or candidate-specific developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$32,364Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the open seat left by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March primary victory over Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, secured with substantial support from Gov. JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, established strong party infrastructure and name recognition heading into the general election. Former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy won his party's nomination in a lower-profile contest but faces the structural reality that no Republican has won a statewide race in Illinois since 2014. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or candidate-specific developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$32,364Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the open seat left by retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton. Her March primary victory over Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, secured with substantial support from Gov. JB Pritzker's organization and fundraising, established strong party infrastructure and name recognition heading into the general election. Former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy won his party's nomination in a lower-profile contest but faces the structural reality that no Republican has won a statewide race in Illinois since 2014. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Late national political shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or candidate-specific developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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