Iran’s political landscape features intense factional rivalries between hardline elements and pragmatic leaders, fueled by the prolonged US-Iran conflict that began in early 2026 and the absence of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei from public view since February. Hardliners, including lawmakers from the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and associates of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truce talks, and sidelining revolutionary institutions and parliament. Rogue actions, such as July strikes on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz attributed to figures like Hossein Taeb, further exposed these divisions and derailed diplomatic efforts. These developments, alongside public warnings and chants during July funerals, sustain trader focus on risks of escalation or sudden shifts in control.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Intento de golpe de Estado en Irán por...?
¿Intento de golpe de Estado en Irán por...?
$2,134,685 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
8%
$2,134,685 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$93,459 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s political landscape features intense factional rivalries between hardline elements and pragmatic leaders, fueled by the prolonged US-Iran conflict that began in early 2026 and the absence of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei from public view since February. Hardliners, including lawmakers from the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and associates of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truce talks, and sidelining revolutionary institutions and parliament. Rogue actions, such as July strikes on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz attributed to figures like Hossein Taeb, further exposed these divisions and derailed diplomatic efforts. These developments, alongside public warnings and chants during July funerals, sustain trader focus on risks of escalation or sudden shifts in control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volumen
$2,134,685Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s political landscape features intense factional rivalries between hardline elements and pragmatic leaders, fueled by the prolonged US-Iran conflict that began in early 2026 and the absence of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei from public view since February. Hardliners, including lawmakers from the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and associates of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truce talks, and sidelining revolutionary institutions and parliament. Rogue actions, such as July strikes on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz attributed to figures like Hossein Taeb, further exposed these divisions and derailed diplomatic efforts. These developments, alongside public warnings and chants during July funerals, sustain trader focus on risks of escalation or sudden shifts in control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,134,685Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s political landscape features intense factional rivalries between hardline elements and pragmatic leaders, fueled by the prolonged US-Iran conflict that began in early 2026 and the absence of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei from public view since February. Hardliners, including lawmakers from the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and associates of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing truce talks, and sidelining revolutionary institutions and parliament. Rogue actions, such as July strikes on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz attributed to figures like Hossein Taeb, further exposed these divisions and derailed diplomatic efforts. These developments, alongside public warnings and chants during July funerals, sustain trader focus on risks of escalation or sudden shifts in control.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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