Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts indicates a minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 2 near the historical average of 13–14 °C, with overnight lows shaped by expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this outlook, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes while pricing in a notable chance of warmer readings above 18 °C if daytime heating or reduced precipitation alters the boundary layer. Uncertainty stems from model spread on exact cloud timing and moisture, typical for early-September conditions in the highland basin where small changes in humidity and wind can shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en la Ciudad de México el 2 de septiembre?
18°C o más 69%
11°C 49%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
8°C o menos
5%
9°C
17%
10°C
20%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C o más
69%
18°C o más 69%
11°C 49%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$5 Vol.
5%
9°C
$5 Vol.
17%
10°C
$15 Vol.
20%
11°C
$15 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C o más
$6 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts indicates a minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 2 near the historical average of 13–14 °C, with overnight lows shaped by expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this outlook, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes while pricing in a notable chance of warmer readings above 18 °C if daytime heating or reduced precipitation alters the boundary layer. Uncertainty stems from model spread on exact cloud timing and moisture, typical for early-September conditions in the highland basin where small changes in humidity and wind can shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts indicates a minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 2 near the historical average of 13–14 °C, with overnight lows shaped by expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this outlook, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes while pricing in a notable chance of warmer readings above 18 °C if daytime heating or reduced precipitation alters the boundary layer. Uncertainty stems from model spread on exact cloud timing and moisture, typical for early-September conditions in the highland basin where small changes in humidity and wind can shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including WeatherBug and regional forecasts indicates a minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 2 near the historical average of 13–14 °C, with overnight lows shaped by expected cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this outlook, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes while pricing in a notable chance of warmer readings above 18 °C if daytime heating or reduced precipitation alters the boundary layer. Uncertainty stems from model spread on exact cloud timing and moisture, typical for early-September conditions in the highland basin where small changes in humidity and wind can shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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