Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
$79,162 Vol.
$79,162 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
$79,162 Vol.
$79,162 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
$56,609 Vol.
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
$22,552 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$79,162Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$79,162Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary, defeating multiple challengers in an open seat previously held by Rep. Haley Stevens. The district, centered in Oakland County suburbs, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. Moss benefits from substantial fundraising dominance, established state legislative experience as Senate speaker pro tempore, and endorsements from Michigan Democratic leaders. Republican nominee Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Minor-party candidates also appear on the November ballot. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to a wide margin consistent with trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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