Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass Duplin, Greene, Lenoir, Jones, Onslow, Pitt, Wayne, Wilson and most of Sampson counties, supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Murphy, who won reelection with over 77 percent in 2024, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primary status. Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., an Army veteran and former state lawmaker who prevailed in his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or likely Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNC-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NC-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$19,249 Vol.
$19,249 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Greg Murphy (R)
86%
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
13%
$19,249 Vol.
$19,249 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Greg Murphy (R)
$14,276 Vol.
86%
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
$4,972 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass Duplin, Greene, Lenoir, Jones, Onslow, Pitt, Wayne, Wilson and most of Sampson counties, supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Murphy, who won reelection with over 77 percent in 2024, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primary status. Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., an Army veteran and former state lawmaker who prevailed in his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or likely Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,249Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass Duplin, Greene, Lenoir, Jones, Onslow, Pitt, Wayne, Wilson and most of Sampson counties, supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Murphy, who won reelection with over 77 percent in 2024, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primary status. Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., an Army veteran and former state lawmaker who prevailed in his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or likely Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,249Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to encompass Duplin, Greene, Lenoir, Jones, Onslow, Pitt, Wayne, Wilson and most of Sampson counties, supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle and carries solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Murphy, who won reelection with over 77 percent in 2024, benefits from substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primary status. Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., an Army veteran and former state lawmaker who prevailed in his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe or likely Republican. Trader consensus aligns with these baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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