Recent polling shows the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) support slipping to the low 20s percent range as Coalition avenir Québec gains ground among francophones and in suburban regions amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions and economic stability. This dynamic, combined with the PLQ’s heavy concentration of support on Montreal Island and persistent weakness among francophone voters outside the city, points to seat totals clustered in the high 20s to mid-30s. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the PLQ near 31 seats, reflecting a competitive but regionally constrained outlook. With the October 5 election under way and many voters still undecided, shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout in key ridings could alter final seat counts within the narrow band currently favored by traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado28-31 29%
32-35 23%
<28 21%
36-39 18%
$11,514 Vol.
$11,514 Vol.
5 oct 2026
<28
21%
28-31
29%
32-35
23%
36-39
18%
40-43
1%
44+
6%
28-31 29%
32-35 23%
<28 21%
36-39 18%
$11,514 Vol.
$11,514 Vol.
5 oct 2026
<28
$2,512 Vol.
21%
28-31
$3,624 Vol.
29%
32-35
$1,482 Vol.
23%
36-39
$2,102 Vol.
18%
40-43
$1,011 Vol.
1%
44+
$783 Vol.
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) support slipping to the low 20s percent range as Coalition avenir Québec gains ground among francophones and in suburban regions amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions and economic stability. This dynamic, combined with the PLQ’s heavy concentration of support on Montreal Island and persistent weakness among francophone voters outside the city, points to seat totals clustered in the high 20s to mid-30s. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the PLQ near 31 seats, reflecting a competitive but regionally constrained outlook. With the October 5 election under way and many voters still undecided, shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout in key ridings could alter final seat counts within the narrow band currently favored by traders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volumen
$11,514Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) support slipping to the low 20s percent range as Coalition avenir Québec gains ground among francophones and in suburban regions amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions and economic stability. This dynamic, combined with the PLQ’s heavy concentration of support on Montreal Island and persistent weakness among francophone voters outside the city, points to seat totals clustered in the high 20s to mid-30s. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the PLQ near 31 seats, reflecting a competitive but regionally constrained outlook. With the October 5 election under way and many voters still undecided, shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout in key ridings could alter final seat counts within the narrow band currently favored by traders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$11,514Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) support slipping to the low 20s percent range as Coalition avenir Québec gains ground among francophones and in suburban regions amid concerns over U.S. trade tensions and economic stability. This dynamic, combined with the PLQ’s heavy concentration of support on Montreal Island and persistent weakness among francophone voters outside the city, points to seat totals clustered in the high 20s to mid-30s. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the PLQ near 31 seats, reflecting a competitive but regionally constrained outlook. With the October 5 election under way and many voters still undecided, shifts in second-choice preferences or turnout in key ridings could alter final seat counts within the narrow band currently favored by traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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