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icon for Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar

Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar

Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar

Delegado Éder Mauro 63%

Zequinha Marinho 16%

Celso Sabino 6%

Helder 5.6%

Polymarket

$25,040 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro 63%

Zequinha Marinho 16%

Celso Sabino 6%

Helder 5.6%

Polymarket

$25,040 Vol.

icon for Delegado Éder Mauro

Delegado Éder Mauro

$13,931 Vol.

63%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$7,107 Vol.

16%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$495 Vol.

6%

icon for Helder

Helder

$1,525 Vol.

6%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$551 Vol.

4%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$235 Vol.

2%

icon for Conti

Conti

$272 Vol.

2%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$208 Vol.

1%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$266 Vol.

<1%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$240 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in the Pará Senate race at 62.5%, reflecting consistent polling strength behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) for the top spot.** Recent September 2026 surveys, including Veritá, Real Time, Doxa, and AtlasIntel, show Mauro frequently ahead or tied for second in combined first- and second-vote scenarios, with shares around 15-20% in aggregates amid a fragmented field. His profile as a longtime federal deputy and police delegate, plus PL party backing formalized in August, bolsters visibility in a contest where voters select two senators. Trailing options like Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão remain competitive within margins of error but trail in most recent data, while lower-probability names show minimal support. The October election timeline and potential late shifts in second-preference voting keep the second vacancy fluid.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,040
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads the market for second place in the Pará Senate race at 62.5%, reflecting consistent polling strength behind Helder Barbalho (MDB) for the top spot.** Recent September 2026 surveys, including Veritá, Real Time, Doxa, and AtlasIntel, show Mauro frequently ahead or tied for second in combined first- and second-vote scenarios, with shares around 15-20% in aggregates amid a fragmented field. His profile as a longtime federal deputy and police delegate, plus PL party backing formalized in August, bolsters visibility in a contest where voters select two senators. Trailing options like Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão remain competitive within margins of error but trail in most recent data, while lower-probability names show minimal support. The October election timeline and potential late shifts in second-preference voting keep the second vacancy fluid.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,040
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Delegado Éder Mauro" con 63%, seguido de "Zequinha Marinho" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar" ha generado $25K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar" es "Delegado Éder Mauro" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Zequinha Marinho" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección Senado Pará: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.