Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Roraima gubernatorial election due to his decisive first-place finish in the June 2026 supplementary vote, combined with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first round. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from established voter recognition and party infrastructure under the PL banner. Recent court action by the TRE-RR lifted restrictions on his commercial campaigning, removing a procedural hurdle raised by opponents. Key challengers such as interim governor Soldado Sampaio trail significantly in surveys. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unfavorable TSE ruling on candidacy eligibility tied to desincompatibilização rules or unexpected late shifts in turnout among key regional blocs before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.3%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.3%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,794 Vol.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Rosi Aires
$222 Vol.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$287 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Roraima gubernatorial election due to his decisive first-place finish in the June 2026 supplementary vote, combined with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first round. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from established voter recognition and party infrastructure under the PL banner. Recent court action by the TRE-RR lifted restrictions on his commercial campaigning, removing a procedural hurdle raised by opponents. Key challengers such as interim governor Soldado Sampaio trail significantly in surveys. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unfavorable TSE ruling on candidacy eligibility tied to desincompatibilização rules or unexpected late shifts in turnout among key regional blocs before ballots close.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volumen
$5,639Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Roraima gubernatorial election due to his decisive first-place finish in the June 2026 supplementary vote, combined with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first round. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from established voter recognition and party infrastructure under the PL banner. Recent court action by the TRE-RR lifted restrictions on his commercial campaigning, removing a procedural hurdle raised by opponents. Key challengers such as interim governor Soldado Sampaio trail significantly in surveys. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unfavorable TSE ruling on candidacy eligibility tied to desincompatibilização rules or unexpected late shifts in turnout among key regional blocs before ballots close.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$5,639Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Roraima gubernatorial election due to his decisive first-place finish in the June 2026 supplementary vote, combined with consistent polling advantages heading into the October 4 first round. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from established voter recognition and party infrastructure under the PL banner. Recent court action by the TRE-RR lifted restrictions on his commercial campaigning, removing a procedural hurdle raised by opponents. Key challengers such as interim governor Soldado Sampaio trail significantly in surveys. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unfavorable TSE ruling on candidacy eligibility tied to desincompatibilização rules or unexpected late shifts in turnout among key regional blocs before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes