Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe, holds a commanding position in the race for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, backed by consistent leads in recent polling averages around 40-46% and alliances that include support from the PT and President Lula. His path to re-election draws strength from incumbency advantages, regional strongholds in Greater Aracaju, and voter assessments of ongoing state programs, while the main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) trails in most late-August and early-September surveys despite pockets of strength in the Agreste region. Minor candidates such as Ricardo Marques (PL) and others register low single digits or less, limiting their impact on the outcome. Trader consensus prices reflect these dynamics and the short timeline to the vote, with limited scope for late shifts absent major new polling or events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFábio 90%
Valmir de Francisquinho 11%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$19,769 Vol.
$19,769 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Fábio
90%
Valmir de Francisquinho
11%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
<1%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 90%
Valmir de Francisquinho 11%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$19,769 Vol.
$19,769 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Fábio
$15,658 Vol.
90%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$1,715 Vol.
11%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$637 Vol.
<1%
Emanuel Cacho
$618 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Helton
$697 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$443 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe, holds a commanding position in the race for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, backed by consistent leads in recent polling averages around 40-46% and alliances that include support from the PT and President Lula. His path to re-election draws strength from incumbency advantages, regional strongholds in Greater Aracaju, and voter assessments of ongoing state programs, while the main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) trails in most late-August and early-September surveys despite pockets of strength in the Agreste region. Minor candidates such as Ricardo Marques (PL) and others register low single digits or less, limiting their impact on the outcome. Trader consensus prices reflect these dynamics and the short timeline to the vote, with limited scope for late shifts absent major new polling or events.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volumen
$19,769Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe, holds a commanding position in the race for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, backed by consistent leads in recent polling averages around 40-46% and alliances that include support from the PT and President Lula. His path to re-election draws strength from incumbency advantages, regional strongholds in Greater Aracaju, and voter assessments of ongoing state programs, while the main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) trails in most late-August and early-September surveys despite pockets of strength in the Agreste region. Minor candidates such as Ricardo Marques (PL) and others register low single digits or less, limiting their impact on the outcome. Trader consensus prices reflect these dynamics and the short timeline to the vote, with limited scope for late shifts absent major new polling or events.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$19,769Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor of Sergipe, holds a commanding position in the race for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, backed by consistent leads in recent polling averages around 40-46% and alliances that include support from the PT and President Lula. His path to re-election draws strength from incumbency advantages, regional strongholds in Greater Aracaju, and voter assessments of ongoing state programs, while the main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) trails in most late-August and early-September surveys despite pockets of strength in the Agreste region. Minor candidates such as Ricardo Marques (PL) and others register low single digits or less, limiting their impact on the outcome. Trader consensus prices reflect these dynamics and the short timeline to the vote, with limited scope for late shifts absent major new polling or events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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