Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his victory above 96 percent. The state's consistent Republican performance, including a nearly 30-point margin for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024, underpins this positioning alongside Hagerty's unopposed primary and substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 6 primary but trails significantly in the limited available polling. Major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 Vol.
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his victory above 96 percent. The state's consistent Republican performance, including a nearly 30-point margin for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024, underpins this positioning alongside Hagerty's unopposed primary and substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 6 primary but trails significantly in the limited available polling. Major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$29,907Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his victory above 96 percent. The state's consistent Republican performance, including a nearly 30-point margin for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024, underpins this positioning alongside Hagerty's unopposed primary and substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 6 primary but trails significantly in the limited available polling. Major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$29,907Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his victory above 96 percent. The state's consistent Republican performance, including a nearly 30-point margin for the GOP presidential candidate in 2024, underpins this positioning alongside Hagerty's unopposed primary and substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination in the August 6 primary but trails significantly in the limited available polling. Major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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