Court-ordered redistricting finalized in late 2025 created a new Utah 1st district anchored in Salt Lake County with a D+12 to D+14 baseline and a presidential voting pattern favoring Democrats by roughly 24 points. Former Representative Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning suited to the seat, while the Republican nominee faces long odds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
UT-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$42,110 Vol.
$42,110 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
4%
$42,110 Vol.
$42,110 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,649 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$36,462 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting finalized in late 2025 created a new Utah 1st district anchored in Salt Lake County with a D+12 to D+14 baseline and a presidential voting pattern favoring Democrats by roughly 24 points. Former Representative Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning suited to the seat, while the Republican nominee faces long odds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$42,110Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting finalized in late 2025 created a new Utah 1st district anchored in Salt Lake County with a D+12 to D+14 baseline and a presidential voting pattern favoring Democrats by roughly 24 points. Former Representative Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning suited to the seat, while the Republican nominee faces long odds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,110Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Court-ordered redistricting finalized in late 2025 created a new Utah 1st district anchored in Salt Lake County with a D+12 to D+14 baseline and a presidential voting pattern favoring Democrats by roughly 24 points. Former Representative Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong name recognition, fundraising, and moderate positioning suited to the seat, while the Republican nominee faces long odds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters. Trader consensus reflects this structural shift and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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