Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
UT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Blake Moore (R)
$2,462 Vol.
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
$13,379 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$15,841Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,841Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a commanding position in Utah’s 2nd congressional district race, with traders assigning him 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democrat Peter Crosby. The newly drawn district covering northern Utah counties remains solidly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Moore secured the nomination in the June primary despite a convention setback, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition as a three-term member. Crosby’s limited resources and the district’s partisan baseline constrain Democratic prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited scope for such shifts before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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