Choka Choka by Anitta and Shakira leads the Best Latin market at 38.5% implied probability due to its high-profile April 2026 release, strong streaming traction, and live performances that amplified crossover appeal ahead of the September 27 VMAs. Shakira’s second entry, Dai Dai with Burna Boy, sits at 33% as voters weigh her dual presence in the category. Bad Bunny’s Nuevayol trails at 17%, reflecting solid name recognition but less recent momentum compared to the Shakira tracks. Rosalía’s La Perla and Karol G’s Papasito hover lower amid a crowded field of seven nominees. With fan voting closing September 25, the tight race between the top two hinges on last-minute streaming spikes and social engagement before the Peacock Theater ceremony.