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Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$8,745 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre

$1,038 Vol.

5%

December 31

$5,422 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold narrow majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress, enabling use of the budget reconciliation process to advance party-line measures on spending, revenues, and debt limit changes without a Senate filibuster. After enacting a major tax and spending package in 2025 and a $70 billion immigration enforcement measure in June 2026, House Republicans passed a July 22 budget resolution by a 216-214 vote to unlock a third package focused on defense funding, agriculture aid, and elements of the SAVE America Act voter eligibility provisions. The Senate has not advanced the resolution, with leadership citing competing demands ahead of the September 30 appropriations deadline and midterm elections. Internal divisions over offsets, spending levels, and timing, combined with the August recess and slim margins, have slowed momentum for House floor action on an actual reconciliation bill.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$8,745
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold narrow majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress, enabling use of the budget reconciliation process to advance party-line measures on spending, revenues, and debt limit changes without a Senate filibuster. After enacting a major tax and spending package in 2025 and a $70 billion immigration enforcement measure in June 2026, House Republicans passed a July 22 budget resolution by a 216-214 vote to unlock a third package focused on defense funding, agriculture aid, and elements of the SAVE America Act voter eligibility provisions. The Senate has not advanced the resolution, with leadership citing competing demands ahead of the September 30 appropriations deadline and midterm elections. Internal divisions over offsets, spending levels, and timing, combined with the August recess and slim margins, have slowed momentum for House floor action on an actual reconciliation bill.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$8,745
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "December 31" con 45%, seguido de "30 de septiembre" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" es "December 31" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de septiembre" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.