OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 announcement and phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra has anchored trader sentiment around the model’s official release. The flagship large language model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned system to date, leads benchmarks in computer use, software engineering, FrontierMath, ARC-AGI, and ExploitBench cybersecurity evaluations. It follows the GPT-5.6 family and arrived days after Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, intensifying competitive dynamics in agentic workflows and professional tools. Initial access targeted Daybreak cybersecurity partners before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users on AWS and Azure, with free-tier availability still pending. Key upcoming catalysts include full paid-tier stabilization, potential pricing or capability updates, and any follow-on 6.1+ variants that could shift resolution criteria for timing-based markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
60%
December 31
95%
$3,096 Vol.
October 31
$2,818 Vol.
60%
December 31
$278 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 announcement and phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra has anchored trader sentiment around the model’s official release. The flagship large language model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned system to date, leads benchmarks in computer use, software engineering, FrontierMath, ARC-AGI, and ExploitBench cybersecurity evaluations. It follows the GPT-5.6 family and arrived days after Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, intensifying competitive dynamics in agentic workflows and professional tools. Initial access targeted Daybreak cybersecurity partners before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users on AWS and Azure, with free-tier availability still pending. Key upcoming catalysts include full paid-tier stabilization, potential pricing or capability updates, and any follow-on 6.1+ variants that could shift resolution criteria for timing-based markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$3,096End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 announcement and phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra has anchored trader sentiment around the model’s official release. The flagship large language model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned system to date, leads benchmarks in computer use, software engineering, FrontierMath, ARC-AGI, and ExploitBench cybersecurity evaluations. It follows the GPT-5.6 family and arrived days after Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, intensifying competitive dynamics in agentic workflows and professional tools. Initial access targeted Daybreak cybersecurity partners before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users on AWS and Azure, with free-tier availability still pending. Key upcoming catalysts include full paid-tier stabilization, potential pricing or capability updates, and any follow-on 6.1+ variants that could shift resolution criteria for timing-based markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,096End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 3, 2026 announcement and phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra has anchored trader sentiment around the model’s official release. The flagship large language model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned system to date, leads benchmarks in computer use, software engineering, FrontierMath, ARC-AGI, and ExploitBench cybersecurity evaluations. It follows the GPT-5.6 family and arrived days after Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, intensifying competitive dynamics in agentic workflows and professional tools. Initial access targeted Daybreak cybersecurity partners before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API users on AWS and Azure, with free-tier availability still pending. Key upcoming catalysts include full paid-tier stabilization, potential pricing or capability updates, and any follow-on 6.1+ variants that could shift resolution criteria for timing-based markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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