Recent National Weather Service and regional model data indicate that Black Rock Desert temperatures during the August 30–September 7 event window have remained moderated by persistent northerly flow and cloud cover, keeping daily maxima clustered in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Official station readings near the playa show a September peak of 84.9 °F on the 1st, with subsequent days trending cooler before a modest rebound, aligning closely with the 87–88 °F bin. This outcome reflects the absence of typical late-summer heat domes or downslope warming that historically push highs above 90 °F. A late-period surge from an unexpected southerly shift or localized microclimate spike exceeding 88 °F on the final days could still alter resolution if verified by the primary reporting station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature during Burning Man 2026?
Highest temperature during Burning Man 2026?
87-88°F 95%
89-90°F 5.1%
86°F or below <1%
95-96°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
86°F or below
1%
87-88°F
95%
89-90°F
5%
91-92°F
<1%
93-94°F
<1%
95-96°F
1%
97°F or above
1%
87-88°F 95%
89-90°F 5.1%
86°F or below <1%
95-96°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
86°F or below
$677 Vol.
1%
87-88°F
$2,178 Vol.
95%
89-90°F
$718 Vol.
5%
91-92°F
$458 Vol.
<1%
93-94°F
$461 Vol.
<1%
95-96°F
$535 Vol.
1%
97°F or above
$451 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20). Recent National Weather Service and regional model data indicate that Black Rock Desert temperatures during the August 30–September 7 event window have remained moderated by persistent northerly flow and cloud cover, keeping daily maxima clustered in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Official station readings near the playa show a September peak of 84.9 °F on the 1st, with subsequent days trending cooler before a modest rebound, aligning closely with the 87–88 °F bin. This outcome reflects the absence of typical late-summer heat domes or downslope warming that historically push highs above 90 °F. A late-period surge from an unexpected southerly shift or localized microclimate spike exceeding 88 °F on the final days could still alter resolution if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$5,478End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20). Recent National Weather Service and regional model data indicate that Black Rock Desert temperatures during the August 30–September 7 event window have remained moderated by persistent northerly flow and cloud cover, keeping daily maxima clustered in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Official station readings near the playa show a September peak of 84.9 °F on the 1st, with subsequent days trending cooler before a modest rebound, aligning closely with the 87–88 °F bin. This outcome reflects the absence of typical late-summer heat domes or downslope warming that historically push highs above 90 °F. A late-period surge from an unexpected southerly shift or localized microclimate spike exceeding 88 °F on the final days could still alter resolution if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Volume
$5,478End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model data indicate that Black Rock Desert temperatures during the August 30–September 7 event window have remained moderated by persistent northerly flow and cloud cover, keeping daily maxima clustered in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Official station readings near the playa show a September peak of 84.9 °F on the 1st, with subsequent days trending cooler before a modest rebound, aligning closely with the 87–88 °F bin. This outcome reflects the absence of typical late-summer heat domes or downslope warming that historically push highs above 90 °F. A late-period surge from an unexpected southerly shift or localized microclimate spike exceeding 88 °F on the final days could still alter resolution if verified by the primary reporting station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions