Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on September 6, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze influences and modest humidity limiting further warming beyond seasonal averages near 90°F. Prior model guidance from NOAA had converged on highs in this narrow range, and the absence of strong synoptic forcing or atypical Gulf moisture kept temperatures from exceeding the bin. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects the final verified data release, though resolution criteria tied to a single station or potential post-event adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift settlement if reexamined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 6?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$106,158 Vol.
$106,158 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$106,158 Vol.
$106,158 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
$4,718 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$9,188 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$22,002 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$6,977 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$15,034 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$12,510 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$15,207 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$10,236 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$7,416 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,370 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$500 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on September 6, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze influences and modest humidity limiting further warming beyond seasonal averages near 90°F. Prior model guidance from NOAA had converged on highs in this narrow range, and the absence of strong synoptic forcing or atypical Gulf moisture kept temperatures from exceeding the bin. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects the final verified data release, though resolution criteria tied to a single station or potential post-event adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift settlement if reexamined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$106,158End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on September 6, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze influences and modest humidity limiting further warming beyond seasonal averages near 90°F. Prior model guidance from NOAA had converged on highs in this narrow range, and the absence of strong synoptic forcing or atypical Gulf moisture kept temperatures from exceeding the bin. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects the final verified data release, though resolution criteria tied to a single station or potential post-event adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift settlement if reexamined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106,158End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on September 6, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze influences and modest humidity limiting further warming beyond seasonal averages near 90°F. Prior model guidance from NOAA had converged on highs in this narrow range, and the absence of strong synoptic forcing or atypical Gulf moisture kept temperatures from exceeding the bin. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects the final verified data release, though resolution criteria tied to a single station or potential post-event adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift settlement if reexamined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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