Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 101°F at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on September 2, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols using calibrated instruments at the primary reporting station, exceeded the 1991-2020 daily normal of 94°F amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of early September in central Texas. Model guidance and climatological analogs had pointed to sustained heat with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow limiting cooling. While post-event data revisions are rare, discrepancies between airport and urban heat-island influenced sites or alternative station selections could theoretically shift resolution if criteria specify otherwise, though current evidence supports strong trader consensus on the verified high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on September 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 2?
100-101°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$37,895 Vol.
$37,895 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$37,895 Vol.
$37,895 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
$3,541 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$109 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$1,574 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$1,334 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$1,074 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,296 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$11,979 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$6,160 Vol.
Yes
102-103°F
$3,687 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$2,531 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$2,609 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 101°F at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on September 2, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols using calibrated instruments at the primary reporting station, exceeded the 1991-2020 daily normal of 94°F amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of early September in central Texas. Model guidance and climatological analogs had pointed to sustained heat with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow limiting cooling. While post-event data revisions are rare, discrepancies between airport and urban heat-island influenced sites or alternative station selections could theoretically shift resolution if criteria specify otherwise, though current evidence supports strong trader consensus on the verified high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,895End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 101°F at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on September 2, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols using calibrated instruments at the primary reporting station, exceeded the 1991-2020 daily normal of 94°F amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of early September in central Texas. Model guidance and climatological analogs had pointed to sustained heat with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow limiting cooling. While post-event data revisions are rare, discrepancies between airport and urban heat-island influenced sites or alternative station selections could theoretically shift resolution if criteria specify otherwise, though current evidence supports strong trader consensus on the verified high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,895End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum of 101°F at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on September 2, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100-101°F outcome. This reading, taken under standard protocols using calibrated instruments at the primary reporting station, exceeded the 1991-2020 daily normal of 94°F amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of early September in central Texas. Model guidance and climatological analogs had pointed to sustained heat with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow limiting cooling. While post-event data revisions are rare, discrepancies between airport and urban heat-island influenced sites or alternative station selections could theoretically shift resolution if criteria specify otherwise, though current evidence supports strong trader consensus on the verified high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions