Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a peak of 35°C in Chengdu on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer Sichuan basin conditions. This aligns with observed trends where daytime heating under minimal cloud cover and subsidence patterns supports highs near or at the upper end of seasonal norms around 31–34°C. Trader consensus at near-100% on 35°C reflects convergence in model outputs and real-time observations confirming the threshold. The outcome could shift only if unanticipated increases in cloud cover, higher moisture advection, or localized cooling from terrain effects suppress the maximum by 1–2°C before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$39,440 Vol.
$39,440 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$39,440 Vol.
$39,440 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$658 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,359 Vol.
No
31°C
$948 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,498 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,938 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,919 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,707 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$5,216 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,676 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,918 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,602 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a peak of 35°C in Chengdu on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer Sichuan basin conditions. This aligns with observed trends where daytime heating under minimal cloud cover and subsidence patterns supports highs near or at the upper end of seasonal norms around 31–34°C. Trader consensus at near-100% on 35°C reflects convergence in model outputs and real-time observations confirming the threshold. The outcome could shift only if unanticipated increases in cloud cover, higher moisture advection, or localized cooling from terrain effects suppress the maximum by 1–2°C before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$39,440End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a peak of 35°C in Chengdu on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer Sichuan basin conditions. This aligns with observed trends where daytime heating under minimal cloud cover and subsidence patterns supports highs near or at the upper end of seasonal norms around 31–34°C. Trader consensus at near-100% on 35°C reflects convergence in model outputs and real-time observations confirming the threshold. The outcome could shift only if unanticipated increases in cloud cover, higher moisture advection, or localized cooling from terrain effects suppress the maximum by 1–2°C before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,440End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a peak of 35°C in Chengdu on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity typical of late-summer Sichuan basin conditions. This aligns with observed trends where daytime heating under minimal cloud cover and subsidence patterns supports highs near or at the upper end of seasonal norms around 31–34°C. Trader consensus at near-100% on 35°C reflects convergence in model outputs and real-time observations confirming the threshold. The outcome could shift only if unanticipated increases in cloud cover, higher moisture advection, or localized cooling from terrain effects suppress the maximum by 1–2°C before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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