Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and consistent observational data from Lucknow stations indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C on September 2 amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and thundershowers associated with the ongoing monsoon. These conditions, including high humidity near 90% and suppressed solar heating, align with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on official maximum readings. Historical September averages around 28–32°C provide context, while active precipitation patterns have kept recent daily highs near or below normal. Updated IMD reports or final verified observations could shift resolution only if unforecasted clearing allows brief spikes above the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 2?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,839 Vol.
$32,839 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,839 Vol.
$32,839 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and consistent observational data from Lucknow stations indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C on September 2 amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and thundershowers associated with the ongoing monsoon. These conditions, including high humidity near 90% and suppressed solar heating, align with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on official maximum readings. Historical September averages around 28–32°C provide context, while active precipitation patterns have kept recent daily highs near or below normal. Updated IMD reports or final verified observations could shift resolution only if unforecasted clearing allows brief spikes above the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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