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icon for MLB: Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 3.2%

Shohei Ohtani 3.0%

Kyle Schwarber 2.8%

Drake Baldwin 2.8%

Polymarket

$1,681,758 Vol.

Aaron Judge 3.2%

Shohei Ohtani 3.0%

Kyle Schwarber 2.8%

Drake Baldwin 2.8%

Polymarket

$1,681,758 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$1,190 Vol.

3%

Shohei Ohtani

$5,050 Vol.

3%

Kyle Schwarber

$478 Vol.

3%

Drake Baldwin

$977 Vol.

3%

Ben Rice

$599 Vol.

2%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$664,415 Vol.

2%

José Ramírez

$462 Vol.

2%

Yordan Alvarez

$1,795 Vol.

2%

Zach Neto

$125 Vol.

1%

José Bell

$398 Vol.

1%

Carlos Correa

$136,011 Vol.

1%

Byron Buxton

$425 Vol.

1%

Julio Rodríguez

$63,108 Vol.

1%

Luke Wood

$406 Vol.

1%

Gunnar Henderson

$797,833 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$474 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$479 Vol.

<1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,177 Vol.

<1%

Dansby Swanson

$442 Vol.

<1%

Brett Turang

$125 Vol.

<1%

Corbin Carroll

$1,320 Vol.

<1%

Mike Trout

$496 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$588 Vol.

<1%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$856 Vol.

<1%

Randy Arozarena

$508 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$939 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$553 Vol.

<1%

Jose Altuve

$527 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MLB runs scored race remains wide open with roughly three weeks left, as no player holds a commanding lead and trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where dozens of contenders retain realistic paths to the top. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads with 105 runs, followed closely by James Wood, Bryan Reynolds, Matt Olson, and Miguel Vargas, all benefiting from high on-base skills, aggressive baserunning, and potent lineups. Key differentiators include health and remaining schedule: Aaron Judge’s rib injury has limited him to 43 runs and caps his late surge despite strong per-game pace, while Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber, Yordan Alvarez, and Fernando Tatis Jr. leverage power and plate discipline in favorable environments. Late-season factors like team run environments, rest, and minor injuries will determine final positioning.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,681,758
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MLB runs scored race remains wide open with roughly three weeks left, as no player holds a commanding lead and trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where dozens of contenders retain realistic paths to the top. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads with 105 runs, followed closely by James Wood, Bryan Reynolds, Matt Olson, and Miguel Vargas, all benefiting from high on-base skills, aggressive baserunning, and potent lineups. Key differentiators include health and remaining schedule: Aaron Judge’s rib injury has limited him to 43 runs and caps his late surge despite strong per-game pace, while Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber, Yordan Alvarez, and Fernando Tatis Jr. leverage power and plate discipline in favorable environments. Late-season factors like team run environments, rest, and minor injuries will determine final positioning.

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,681,758
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 3%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Runs Leader" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Runs Leader," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: Runs Leader" is "Aaron Judge" at just 3%, with "Shohei Ohtani" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.